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Entries categorized as ‘McCain’

The Palin Effect – 2 Points

November 5, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Of an entirely different nature than the Bradley Effect, the Palin effect is the polled difference in support for McCain with and without Sarah Palin on the ticket.  While the Bradley Effect is in some sense a measure of people’s honesty with pollsters, the Palin effect is an attempt to understand the impact on people’s decision of  the choice of a running mate.

There are many ways to measure that impact – Sarah Palin’s poor favorability ratings overall, especially her lack of popularity among the important moderate and independent voters (she continues to be treated like a Christian-Rock-Star by the Christian Right part of the Republican base).  Some polls had as many as 60% of the population holding negative opinions and believing that Palin was not qualified.

While it’s always difficult to poll people based on a hypothetical scenario, that doesn’t stop the pollsters from trying.  CNN attempted to conduct such a survey two weeks ago, and calculated that McCain’s support would have been 2 points higher without Palin than it was with her on the ticket.

We might think that is an unimportant difference.  But this 2-point difference would have decided a large number of recent contests, where the margin of victory has been very slim.

Palin promises to stay around, and is exploring the best ways to position herself for 2012.  I think this is a marvelous idea.  I’ve re-upped my domain registration, and can’t wait to see the Republican party engage in an all-out cultural civil war all its own.

The fissures in the party that were always there are coming to the surface and could well rip that tent apart, leaving Republicans in the cold driving rain.  Umbrella, anyone?

Categories: Bush · McCain · Palin · Politics
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The Faggot Effect – 4 Points

November 5, 2008 · Leave a Comment

It now appears that Proposition 8 in California will pass 52% to 48%.  That proposition will change the State constitution so as to deny marriage rights to same sex partners.

Proposition 8 was headed for a defeat with just 48% of the vote in favor of the proposition going in to the election.

So I call the Faggot Effect at 4 points.

No on Proposition 8 had the highly visible support of A-list Hollywood.  Yes on 8 had the bigots in the Mormon and Catholic churches preaching from the altar and funneling money in from across the country.  Given the opposition to Proposition 8 by “culture-makers,” I suspect that there were a large number of people who didn’t want to say they were for 8, but voted for it.  At least there is some solace in the fact that some people feel that supporting discrimination is shameful.

Ironically, the large turnout for Obama of church-going African-Americans, who generally were in favor of Proposition 8, may have helped push Yes on 8 over the top to victory.  Obama was against Proposition 8 (although Yes on 8 sent out a direct mail piece implying otherwise), as was Governor Schwarzenegger, but neither used any political capital to oppose the measure apart from their public position.

It’s a shameful day when we amend the constitution to deny people civil rights that in no way infringe on the rights of others.  This vote makes the sweet success of Obama bittersweet, and reminds me that while we have traveled far, we have so much further to go, and little time to rest.

What an odd feeling to have your civil rights, and somehow your very value as a person put to the popular vote.  And to lose.

The good news is that a similar initiative several years ago passed with 61% support.  The trend toward tolerance is in our favor.

In the words of Joe Solomonese, Executive Director of HRC:  “Remember, our marriages didn’t begin with a decision of the court, and they will not end with a vote of the people.”

Categories: McCain · Palin · Politics
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Palin's Diary Discovered?

November 4, 2008 · 1 Comment

Editor’s Note: Earlier today, the Alaska bureau of HatePalin received a plain manila envelope containing a pink, leather-bound book engraved with the words “MY DIARY”. Handwriting and microfiber analysis lead us to believe that this is, in fact, the authentic diary of Gov. Sarah Palin. But in the spirit of unbiased analysis that is the hallmark of HatePalin, we invite you to be the judge.

************

November 2, 2008 12:45a.m.

Dear Diary,

I can’t sleep, despite all the nice blue pills. First, the countdown clock is really ticking. Only two days to go! (Who would know how many hours that works out to – Kissinger?)

Second, it turns out you can see Mexico from Texas. Canada up top, Mexico on the bottom, water everywhere else. I may not be a foreign policy expert, but that means we are surrounded on all sides by foreigners.  John needs to go public with this, or I will.   Why don’t the newspapers report this kind of thing instead of whether I do or do not have the ethics to serve in public office?

Must find out if normal bullets are effective against Mexicans, or if we need silver bullets like for the Chinese.

Idea for where we put the non-American parts of America: Greenland.

Love You,

Sarah

************

November 3, 2008. 10:30 a.m.

Dear Diary,

Just a quick note–the Big Night is tomorrow! I haven’t slept for 3 days! Thank God this campaign is almost over and I can finally get those McCain idiots out of my hair! If I needed 30 years of foreign policy trivia crammed into my head, I would have studied it in school! And isn’t that what ambassadors are for?!

BTW–had NO idea Henry Kissinger was a Jew.  Wondering if I offended him with that joke.  Shoot.

Oh! Remember to ask Cindy M. for different sleeping pills–but not the blue ones again! Don’t want to look like Cindy M. on election day (ha ha).  Lord knows, makeup can only do so much. Which reminds me, if that celebrity stylist comes near me again with her Autumn Kisses rouge, I’m going to unpack my Luger and go Alaska on her. The last time I checked, I wasn’t running for Whore in Chief.

Daily affirmation: *I am the Lord’s anointed champion*

Hugs and Stuff,

Sarah Barracuda

************

November 3, 2008. 12:30 p.m.

Dear Diary,

Okay, the sourpuss mood around this plane is really starting to get on my nerves. Why do these people constantly talk about poll numbers? We know from scripture that miracles happen. And it’s not like we don’t know whose side God is on.

I’ve thought about it and here’s what came to me in a revelation last night. God could be doing the ol’ hockey fake out. He’s going to put that America-hating black man in the White House to give me a clear shot in 2012. Either that, or the end times are upon us.

Ooh! Staffers are coming around with mini cupcakes!

Gotta Run,

S.

************

November 3, 2008. 8:30 p.m.

Dear Diary,

Did you know that women can be homosexuals, too? Uh oh, Cindy’s coming.

************

November 4, 2008. 3:18 am

Dear Diary,

So worried. Worried about the future of our blessed nation. Worried for little Bristol. Where will we hide her when the race wars start? Room is spinning. I do not think these pills were good. I do not like them. I do not like them, Sam I Am. I do not like Triazolam.

Smooshes,

Princess Palin

************

November 4, 2008. 10:00am

Dear Diary,

First, the bad news: the Federal Election people will not give me a do-over. Rats! Whatever Ralph Nader gets, subtract it by one.

On to the good news. Todd has a sledding buddy/released murderer pal up in Prudhomme Bay who says he can help us out with Operation Sudden Promotion. Actually, we had to change the name because Todd kept forgetting what it meant. Now we are calling it Operation There’s Only Room For One Maverick In The White House. I wonder how long I have to wait to make it really convincing and believable?

One last thing. Did you know they let *anyone* vote? I just can’t wait to start bringing some Wasilla common sense to this country.

Bye For Now,

S

Categories: McCain · Palin · Palintology · Politics
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Karl Rove Predicts Obama Landslide

November 4, 2008 · Leave a Comment

While McCain attempts to keep up a brave face, Karl Rove has publicly predicted a  landslide of Obama-Biden at 338 electoral votes to McCain-Palin’s 200 (270 electoral votes needed to win).   This would be the most lopsided win since Clinton’s 1996 379-159 slaughtering of Bob Dole.

And in what has to be the oddest comment ever by a Vice Presidential candidate known for her odd comments, when asked outside the polling place in Wasilla – Sarah Palin answered that she wasn’t telling, but would exercise her right to privacy.  Huh?

And instead of a release of medical records, we get a note from her doctor saying that she’s A-OK?  Remember it was Sarah herself who said that she’d release her records.  What’s up with that?  And she does it right on the eve of the election so that it gets buried in the election coverage.  What is Sarah hiding?

In addition the Personnel Board in Alaska released its own findings that contradicted the conclusion in the Branchflower Report.  If you’ll remember the independent investigator found that Palin had violated Alaska’s ethics laws by using the power of the Governor’s office to try to get her ex-brother-in-law fired as a trooper (Troopergate).  This second report says that she did not violate ethics laws.  The only problem is that the members of the Personnel Board – you bethca’ – appointed by the Governor.  So the Governor rejects the finding of the independent investigator appointed by the bipartisan legislature as biased, but says that the report from people she appointed is unbiased.  Huh?

Categories: McCain · Palin · Palintology · Politics · Troopergate
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Palin Pranked by Fake Sarkozy

November 3, 2008 · 3 Comments

You’ve probably heard that Sarah Palin fell prey to a Canadian comedy team’s prank call, in which she doesn’t come off too well.  Talk about “Gotcha’ Journalism!”

Here’s the audio of the actual call:

And here is a fun Belgian dance-mix take using that audio:

Categories: McCain · Palin · Palintology · Politics
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Phillies Win World Series, Right to Pick President

October 30, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Now that the Philadelphia Phillies have won the World Series, it only seems fitting that we just let Pennsylvania pick the next President.

Think about it.  It would save a lot of money.  Both in running all of those polling stations and in legal fees.  The Republicans wouldn’t have to go through the nasty business of challenging and disenfranchising voters.  And the Democrats wouldn’t have to bring in Mickey Mouse to vote.  We wouldn’t have to go through the agony of post-vote challenges, missing ballots, court cases, and finally waking up the Supreme Court Justices from their afternoon naps to pick the winner.

It just seems so much simpler somehow.

But I suppose this being a “democracy”  and all (see McCain and his famous air quotes), we need to let everyone vote.  Instead, I’m just going to assume that whoever wins Pennsylvania on election night (and since it’s on the East Coast, we should get the results early here on the Left Coast) wins the whole sha-bang.  Given the “many paths to victory” of Obama-Biden we may all get a good night’s sleep, which would be a nice change for the large group of people who will remain nervous right up until January.  And beyond.

I’ve heard rumors that there have been another five assassination plans/attempts on Obama’s life in addition to the two bumbling rednecks that were recently announced.  It’s sad that at a moment when we all – regardless of who we support, or our political outlook or party affiliation – ought to be celebrating a milestone in the history of this great country – the election of a black man to the highest position in the land – we are instead worried about the worst happening.  So clearly we’ve come a long way, and we still have a long way to go.  Some have further to go than others.

So congratulations to the Phillies, from far and wide.  Well played.

Now go vote.

Categories: McCain · Palin · Politics
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Famed Liberal (Socialist?) George F. Will Questions McCain

October 29, 2008 · Leave a Comment

OK, I’m sorry, but you know that the McCain-Palin ticket has been abandoned by everyone except the KKK, James Dobson and the Christian Right and their mothers (but, famously, not necessarily mother-in-laws in the case of “First Gentlemen” Todd Palin’s mother) when George F’in Will speaks out against the outrageous positions and claims the ticket is making.

In his recent Washington Post article “Call Him John The Careless, ” venerable populist/intellectual of conservatives George Will calls out McCain for his reckless choice of Palin as Vice-Presidential candidate.

In his article Will chides McCain for his choice of Palin and her severe misunderstanding of the role of Vice President, and also for their ridiculous challenge to the huge groundswell of support for Obama-Biden.  This surge has been moral, financial and has brought new participants, both young and old into the political process.  Indeed, Obama is one of the first “movement” candidates we’ve had in the United States in a very, very, very long time.  McCain now claims that Obama donors, who have contributed on average between $80 and $90 each, are somehow skirting campaign finance laws and subverting democracy.  Are you McCain’ing kidding me?

Palin and her “circle” were busy today contemplating Sarah’s future if/when McCain/Palin loses.  As I’ve written here previously, apparently Sarah believes she is the future of the Republican party and has even talked publicly about a 2012 run, “if” they lose.  Oops, NOT a talking point!  Personally I happen to think that the establishment Republicans will wrest back control and send Palin a’packin’ – but I always try to remember that no one has ever gone broke underestimating the intelligence of the American people.  Especially Republicans.

I kind of hope Sarah stays around.  It would make this URL domain (www.hatepalin.com) a whole lot more useful, and my life a lot more interesting.  It would also mean the dissipation of conservative power over the nation due to internecine warfare within the Republican party.  I think that would be a very good thing.

If it weren’t all so serious, it would be comical.

Categories: Bush · McCain · Palin · Palintology
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Felon Ted Stevens Endorses Sarah Palin

October 29, 2008 · Leave a Comment

So Sarah Palin keeps some unsavory company.  Here’s the video of the endorsement she sought, and recieved, from Senator and convicted felon Ted Stevens.

Categories: McCain · Palin · Palintology
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Wassup 2008! The Bud Wassup Boys & The Election

October 29, 2008 · Leave a Comment

The Bud Wassup boys have moved on, and now believe in some change. Watch the video:

Categories: McCain · Palin · Politics
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"His Choice" Obama Ad Takes Aim at Palin

October 29, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Watch the ad here:

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