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Entries tagged as ‘polls’

Bad Polling Data for Sarah

January 19, 2011 · Leave a Comment

Sarah Palin got more bad news this week when two polls measuring favorability/unfavorability ratings were released.  In both polls Palin’s unfavorable ratings went up significantly as compared to before the mid-term elections, while favorable ratings ticked down slightly.  Overall Palin has between a 15 and 20 point unfavorable gap.

CNN/Opinion Poll:

Unfavorable = 56%

Favorable = 36%

USA Today/Gallup Poll:

Unfavorable = 52%

Favorable = 38%

These poll results underscore how badly Palin fumbled her reaction to the criticisms following the Arizona shooting tragedy.  It seems clearer than ever that Palin is not electable.  I believe she will toss her hat into the ring for President in order to maintain a national presence, keep her speaking fees high, and ensure a seat on the gravy train she was able to obtain after McCain’s hasty choice of Palin as his Vice Presidential candidate.  Palin can still inflame and energize the base – white, rural, older Christian voters who are afraid, and in the words of the Tea Party “want our country back” from the multi-cultural, multi-racial, multi-ethnic, multi-religious (and areligious) reality. 

Sadly, despite these numbers, we are likely to have to suffer more of Palin’s brand of demagoguery and her confident assertions despite her lack of intelligence and understanding of the core issues of the day, her lack of ability to appeal to citizens outside her core constituency, and her unelectability.  The Republican party would do well to come up with a strategy to neutralize her ability to make the primary so bruising as to harm their ultimate candidate.

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Some Good News

October 5, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Early September:

  • 47% of women voters had a favorable opinion of Sara Palin
  • 19% had an unfavorable view

Early October:

  • 34% of women had a favorable opinion
  • 33% had unfavorable view

I don’t believe that the Vice-Presidential candidate debates had occurred prior these ratings, but based on the CNN instant reaction of Ohio undecided voters, I’d have to say that Palin did little to bolster her standing among women.

Categories: Palin · Palintology
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